Well it looks like Texas managed to screw me twice last night. They won the game (which throws Utah's argument for a top spot out the window) and managed not to beat the spread. Compounding matters is the fact that with 2 games to pick, I'm only 2 games above .500 at 17-15. Lucky for me, with the GMAC Bowl tonight, even if I screw it up, the government will bail me out!!
Tulsa -3 Ball State
On paper, Ball State (12-1) should have little trouble beating Tulsa, who lost 3 of 5 to finish the year, including a 70-30 whooping by Houston. However, the Golden Hurricane happen to be the top ranked offense in the nation, averaging an astounding 565 yards and 47.4 points per game. This bodes well for Tulsa, except for the fact that their pass defense is wretched - allowing 258.8 yards in the air (putting them 104th out of 120 Bowl Subdivision teams).
Ball State QB Nate Davis may leave for the NFL after this game, putting his name in the mix with the two high-profile QBs playing on Thursday. If he takes his cues from other Detroit Lions wannabes (Colt McCoy, Fiesta Bowl - 414 yards passing; Chase Clement, Texas Bowl - 379 total yards, 4 TDs) he has a good shot of making himself heard on draft day. However, he could be overshadowed by David Johnson of Tulsa, who boasts a QB rating of nearly 180 and 43 TDs and looks to redeem himself for a 5 INT performance against ECU.
One thing is for sure - this one will be a shootout (the O/U is 74.5). The winning QB will be thrust into the top tier of NCAA QBs. The loser? Well, there's always a car loan . . .
I like Ball State in this one getting the points. I only hope alumni Brian Collins will be able to report on the game for KXXV in Waco, TX. Yes, that's the same BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE guy.
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